Saturday 9 September 2017, 21:00
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Full time
40%
28%
31%
Home win
40.2%
Draw
28.3%
Away win
31.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.3% | 3.53 | — | — |
| Dijon | 31.4% | 3.18 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.1% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.9% | 11.25 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.7% | 3.60 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.5% | 4.09 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.0% | 9.07 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| No | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen / Draw | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Caen / Dijon | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Dijon | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.9
|
8.7
|
5.5
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.2
|
13.5
|
7.4
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.4
|
8.6
|
5.0
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.3
|
3.9
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.3
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Caen
1-0
Dijon
Sep 2018
Dijon
0-2
Caen
Feb 2018
Dijon
2-0
Caen
Feb 2017
Dijon
2-0
Caen
Dec 2016
Caen
3-3
Dijon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.