Saturday 1 September 2018, 21:00
Stade Gaston-Gérard
Full time
59%
24%
17%
Home win
58.8%
Draw
23.8%
Away win
17.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.8% | 4.20 | — | — |
| Caen | 17.4% | 5.74 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.1% | 13.99 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.6% | 4.23 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.3% | 3.41 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.2% | 7.04 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| No | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon / Draw | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Dijon / Caen | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 41.2% | 2.42 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.1
|
5.2
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.3
|
11.4
|
4.8
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.9
|
9.8
|
4.4
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.7
|
6.0
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.1
|
2.8
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Caen
1-0
Dijon
Feb 2018
Dijon
2-0
Caen
Sep 2017
Caen
2-1
Dijon
Feb 2017
Dijon
2-0
Caen
Dec 2016
Caen
3-3
Dijon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.