Saturday 12 May 2018, 22:00
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
46%
25%
29%
Home win
45.7%
Draw
25.1%
Away win
29.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.1% | 3.99 | — | — |
| Dijon | 29.2% | 3.42 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.5% | 18.07 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.0% | 5.28 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.7% | 2.80 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.3% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.8% | 5.31 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| No | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Lille / Dijon | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Dijon | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.5
|
5.8
|
4.3
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
7.6
|
11.6
|
7.2
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
7.0
|
9.3
|
6.1
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.0
|
5.3
|
3.5
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.7
|
2.2
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2021
Lille
1-0
Dijon
Dec 2020
Dijon
0-2
Lille
Jan 2020
Dijon
1-0
Lille
Nov 2019
Lille
1-0
Dijon
Mar 2019
Lille
1-0
Dijon
Oct 2018
Dijon
1-2
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.