Sunday 6 May 2018, 18:00
Stadium Municipal
Full time
44%
31%
25%
Home win
43.7%
Draw
31.4%
Away win
24.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.4% | 3.19 | — | — |
| Lille | 24.9% | 4.01 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.8% | 7.25 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 38.7% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 33.4% | 2.99 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.0% | 6.66 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.6% | 17.75 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
| No | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse / Draw | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Toulouse / Lille | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.8
|
10.1
|
4.6
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.8
|
13.9
|
5.5
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.4
|
7.9
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.8
|
3.2
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Toulouse
0-4
Lille
Sep 2025
Lille
2-1
Toulouse
Apr 2025
Toulouse
1-2
Lille
Oct 2024
Lille
2-1
Toulouse
Feb 2024
Toulouse
3-1
Lille
Nov 2023
Lille
1-1
Toulouse
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.