Saturday 7 April 2018, 21:00
Matmut Atlantique
Full time
52%
28%
20%
Home win
51.9%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
20.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.9% | 3.58 | — | — |
| Lille | 20.2% | 4.94 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.7% | 9.31 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.3% | 3.10 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.1% | 4.97 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.4% | 11.91 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
| No | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux / Draw | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Bordeaux / Lille | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.7
|
7.5
|
3.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.1
|
12.9
|
5.0
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.9
|
9.0
|
3.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.4
|
4.4
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.0
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
Lille
0-0
Bordeaux
Dec 2021
Bordeaux
2-3
Lille
Feb 2021
Bordeaux
0-3
Lille
Dec 2020
Lille
2-1
Bordeaux
Oct 2019
Lille
3-0
Bordeaux
May 2019
Lille
1-0
Bordeaux
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.