Friday 2 March 2018, 20:00
Allianz Riviera
Full time
58%
25%
17%
Home win
57.7%
Draw
25.1%
Away win
17.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.1% | 3.99 | — | — |
| Lille | 17.2% | 5.81 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.6% | 11.62 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.4% | 3.65 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.0% | 4.00 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.3% | 8.82 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| No | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Nice / Lille | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.6
|
5.9
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.9
|
11.9
|
4.6
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.6
|
9.6
|
3.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.6
|
5.4
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.8
|
2.3
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Lille
0-0
Nice
Oct 2025
Nice
2-0
Lille
Jan 2025
Lille
2-1
Nice
Nov 2024
Nice
2-2
Lille
May 2024
Lille
2-2
Nice
Aug 2023
Nice
1-1
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.