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Saturday 10 February 2018, 21:00 Stade Gaston-Gérard Full time
3–2
HT 0–0
35% 26% 39%
Home win
34.8%
Draw
25.8%
Away win
39.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Dijon 34.8% 2.87
Draw 25.8% 3.87
Nice 39.3% 2.54

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.1% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.9% 16.95
Over 1.5 80.1% 1.25
Under 1.5 19.9% 5.01
Over 2.5 56.6% 1.77
Under 2.5 43.4% 2.31
Over 3.5 34.2% 2.92
Under 3.5 65.8% 1.52
Over 4.5 17.7% 5.65
Under 4.5 82.3% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.2% 1.66
No 39.8% 2.51

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Dijon / Draw 60.7% 1.65
Dijon / Nice 74.2% 1.35
Draw / Nice 65.2% 1.53

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.9
7.3
6.1
3.1
1.2
0.4
1
6.8
12.0
8.7
4.4
1.7
0.5
2
5.3
8.1
6.2
3.1
1.2
0.4
3
2.5
3.8
2.9
1.5
0.6
0.2
4
0.9
1.4
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Dijon goals. Columns: Nice goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.