Sunday 5 November 2017, 16:00
Allianz Riviera
Full time
62%
22%
16%
Home win
61.9%
Draw
21.8%
Away win
16.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.8% | 4.58 | — | — |
| Dijon | 16.3% | 6.14 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.6% | 17.91 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.4% | 5.16 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.4% | 5.43 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| No | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Nice / Dijon | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Dijon | 38.1% | 2.62 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.6
|
4.2
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.6
|
10.3
|
4.7
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.4
|
9.9
|
4.8
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.1
|
6.8
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.6
|
3.4
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.5
|
1.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Dijon
2-0
Nice
Nov 2020
Nice
1-3
Dijon
Sep 2019
Nice
2-1
Dijon
Mar 2019
Dijon
0-1
Nice
Aug 2018
Nice
0-4
Dijon
Feb 2018
Dijon
3-2
Nice
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.