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Saturday 14 October 2017, 18:00 Stade Gaston-Gérard Full time
12% 19% 68%
Home win
12.5%
Draw
19.2%
Away win
68.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Dijon 12.5% 8.03
Draw 19.2% 5.22
Paris Saint Germain 68.4% 1.46

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.2% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.8% 20.85
Over 1.5 82.7% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.3% 5.79
Over 2.5 61.0% 1.64
Under 2.5 39.0% 2.56
Over 3.5 38.6% 2.59
Under 3.5 61.4% 1.63
Over 4.5 21.1% 4.75
Under 4.5 78.9% 1.27

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.9% 1.89
No 47.1% 2.12

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Dijon / Draw 31.6% 3.16
Dijon / Paris Saint Germain 80.8% 1.24
Draw / Paris Saint Germain 87.6% 1.14

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.8
9.2
11.1
8.4
4.8
2.2
1
3.2
9.0
9.7
7.4
4.2
1.9
2
1.6
3.7
4.3
3.2
1.8
0.8
3
0.5
1.1
1.2
0.9
0.5
0.2
4
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.1
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Dijon goals. Columns: Paris Saint Germain goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.