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Saturday 30 September 2017, 18:00 Parc des Princes Full time
71% 19% 10%
Home win
71.3%
Draw
18.8%
Away win
9.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain 71.3% 1.40
Draw 18.8% 5.33
Bordeaux 9.9% 10.11

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.1% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.9% 16.89
Over 1.5 79.3% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.7% 4.83
Over 2.5 55.8% 1.79
Under 2.5 44.2% 2.26
Over 3.5 33.4% 2.99
Under 3.5 66.6% 1.50
Over 4.5 17.1% 5.85
Under 4.5 82.9% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.5% 2.20
No 54.5% 1.84

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain / Draw 90.1% 1.11
Paris Saint Germain / Bordeaux 81.2% 1.23
Draw / Bordeaux 28.7% 3.49

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.9
3.3
1.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
11.5
8.9
3.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
13.2
9.3
3.3
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
9.8
6.9
2.4
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
5.4
3.8
1.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
2.4
1.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Paris Saint Germain goals. Columns: Bordeaux goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.