Sunday 20 August 2017, 22:00
Parc des Princes
Full time
73%
19%
7%
Home win
73.4%
Draw
19.3%
Away win
7.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.3% | 5.19 | — | — |
| Toulouse | 7.3% | 13.64 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.6% | 11.67 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.0% | 3.58 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.6% | 4.07 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.1% | 9.03 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.9% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
| No | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain / Draw | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Paris Saint Germain / Toulouse | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Toulouse | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.6
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.9
|
8.5
|
2.0
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
16.6
|
8.1
|
2.0
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.2
|
5.5
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.7
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.3
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Paris Saint Germain
3-1
Toulouse
Aug 2025
Toulouse
3-6
Paris Saint Germain
Feb 2025
Toulouse
0-1
Paris Saint Germain
Nov 2024
Paris Saint Germain
3-0
Toulouse
May 2024
Paris Saint Germain
1-3
Toulouse
Aug 2023
Toulouse
1-1
Paris Saint Germain
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.