Saturday 20 May 2017, 22:00
Stadium Municipal
Full time
48%
29%
23%
Home win
48.5%
Draw
28.8%
Away win
22.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
| Dijon | 22.7% | 4.41 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.9% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.1% | 9.04 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.0% | 3.03 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.5% | 5.13 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.1% | 12.41 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
| No | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse / Draw | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Toulouse / Dijon | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Dijon | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.1
|
8.2
|
3.9
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.7
|
13.3
|
5.5
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.1
|
8.8
|
3.8
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.7
|
4.1
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2020
Dijon
2-1
Toulouse
Aug 2019
Toulouse
1-0
Dijon
May 2019
Dijon
2-1
Toulouse
Dec 2018
Toulouse
2-2
Dijon
Apr 2018
Toulouse
0-1
Dijon
Nov 2017
Dijon
3-1
Toulouse
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.