Saturday 6 May 2017, 21:00
Stadium Municipal
Full time
61%
25%
14%
Home win
61.0%
Draw
24.8%
Away win
14.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.8% | 4.04 | — | — |
| Caen | 14.2% | 7.05 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.3% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.7% | 10.27 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.3% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.1% | 4.53 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.6% | 10.46 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.6% | 2.41 | — | — |
| No | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse / Draw | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Toulouse / Caen | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 39.0% | 2.57 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.7
|
5.7
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.8
|
11.4
|
3.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.2
|
9.2
|
3.2
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.5
|
5.2
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.2
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Toulouse
1-1
Caen
Dec 2018
Caen
2-1
Toulouse
Apr 2018
Caen
0-0
Toulouse
Dec 2017
Toulouse
2-0
Caen
Oct 2016
Caen
1-0
Toulouse
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.