Sunday 9 April 2017, 16:00
Stadium Municipal
Full time
40%
31%
29%
Home win
40.3%
Draw
30.7%
Away win
29.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.7% | 3.26 | — | — |
| Marseille | 29.0% | 3.44 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.1% | 8.26 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.7% | 5.66 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.3% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.0% | 14.23 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| No | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse / Draw | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Toulouse / Marseille | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Marseille | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.1
|
10.3
|
5.4
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.8
|
14.1
|
6.5
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.2
|
8.0
|
3.9
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.3
|
3.2
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Toulouse
0-1
Marseille
Nov 2025
Marseille
2-2
Toulouse
Apr 2025
Marseille
3-2
Toulouse
Aug 2024
Toulouse
1-3
Marseille
Apr 2024
Toulouse
2-2
Marseille
Sep 2023
Marseille
0-0
Toulouse
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.