Saturday 1 April 2017, 18:00
Orange Vélodrome
Full time
62%
22%
16%
Home win
61.7%
Draw
21.9%
Away win
16.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.9% | 4.57 | — | — |
| Dijon | 16.4% | 6.08 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.6% | 17.93 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.4% | 5.16 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.4% | 5.43 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| No | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille / Draw | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Marseille / Dijon | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Dijon | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.6
|
4.2
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.6
|
10.4
|
4.7
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.3
|
9.9
|
4.8
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.0
|
6.8
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.6
|
3.4
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.5
|
1.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Marseille
2-0
Dijon
Jan 2021
Dijon
0-0
Marseille
Sep 2019
Dijon
0-0
Marseille
Feb 2019
Dijon
1-2
Marseille
Nov 2018
Marseille
2-0
Dijon
Mar 2018
Dijon
1-3
Marseille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.