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Saturday 4 March 2017, 21:00 Stade Gaston-Gérard Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
27% 27% 46%
Home win
27.0%
Draw
27.4%
Away win
45.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Dijon 27.0% 3.71
Draw 27.4% 3.65
Nice 45.6% 2.19

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.7% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.3% 11.99
Over 1.5 73.6% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.4% 3.78
Over 2.5 47.6% 2.10
Under 2.5 52.4% 1.91
Over 3.5 25.9% 3.86
Under 3.5 74.1% 1.35
Over 4.5 11.9% 8.38
Under 4.5 88.1% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.1% 1.92
No 47.9% 2.09

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Dijon / Draw 54.4% 1.84
Dijon / Nice 72.6% 1.38
Draw / Nice 73.0% 1.37

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.3
10.6
8.4
4.2
1.6
0.5
1
7.5
13.1
9.2
4.5
1.7
0.5
2
4.5
6.7
5.0
2.5
0.9
0.3
3
1.6
2.4
1.8
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
0.4
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Dijon goals. Columns: Nice goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.