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Wednesday 8 February 2017, 20:00 Allianz Riviera Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
51% 31% 18%
Home win
50.6%
Draw
31.3%
Away win
18.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nice 50.6% 1.97
Draw 31.3% 3.20
Saint Etienne 18.1% 5.53

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.1% 1.19
Under 0.5 15.9% 6.28
Over 1.5 56.9% 1.76
Under 1.5 43.1% 2.32
Over 2.5 29.2% 3.42
Under 2.5 70.8% 1.41
Over 3.5 12.3% 8.16
Under 3.5 87.7% 1.14
Over 4.5 4.3% 23.35
Under 4.5 95.7% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.2% 2.92
No 65.8% 1.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nice / Draw 81.9% 1.22
Nice / Saint Etienne 68.7% 1.46
Draw / Saint Etienne 49.4% 2.03

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.9
8.9
3.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
18.3
12.8
3.8
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
11.9
7.5
2.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
5.0
3.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
1.6
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nice goals. Columns: Saint Etienne goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.