Sunday 29 January 2017, 18:00
Stadium Municipal
Full time
37%
35%
28%
Home win
37.2%
Draw
35.2%
Away win
27.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Draw | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne | 27.6% | 3.62 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 18.7% | 5.36 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 24.9% | 4.02 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 9.6% | 10.36 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.1% | 32.24 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.9% | 1.03 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
| No | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse / Draw | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Toulouse / Saint Etienne | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Draw / Saint Etienne | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
18.7
|
13.1
|
5.4
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.1
|
13.9
|
5.1
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
8.0
|
6.2
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.5
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Saint Etienne
2-3
Toulouse
Dec 2024
Toulouse
2-1
Saint Etienne
Sep 2019
Saint Etienne
2-2
Toulouse
Apr 2019
Saint Etienne
2-0
Toulouse
Sep 2018
Toulouse
2-3
Saint Etienne
Jan 2018
Saint Etienne
2-0
Toulouse
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.