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Wednesday 21 December 2016, 21:50 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard Full time
51% 32% 16%
Home win
51.4%
Draw
32.3%
Away win
16.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne 51.4% 1.94
Draw 32.3% 3.10
Nancy 16.3% 6.13

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 81.9% 1.22
Under 0.5 18.1% 5.53
Over 1.5 52.9% 1.89
Under 1.5 47.1% 2.12
Over 2.5 25.6% 3.91
Under 2.5 74.4% 1.34
Over 3.5 10.1% 9.94
Under 3.5 89.9% 1.11
Over 4.5 3.3% 30.48
Under 4.5 96.7% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 30.2% 3.31
No 69.8% 1.43

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne / Draw 83.7% 1.19
Saint Etienne / Nancy 67.7% 1.48
Draw / Nancy 48.6% 2.06

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
18.1
8.9
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
20.2
12.2
3.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
12.5
6.9
1.9
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
5.0
2.7
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
1.5
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Saint Etienne goals. Columns: Nancy goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.