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Wednesday 30 November 2016, 20:00 Stade Marcel-Picot Full time
4–0
HT 1–0
38% 32% 31%
Home win
37.5%
Draw
31.6%
Away win
30.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nancy 37.5% 2.67
Draw 31.6% 3.16
Metz 30.9% 3.24

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.7% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.3% 7.54
Over 1.5 62.4% 1.60
Under 1.5 37.6% 2.66
Over 2.5 34.6% 2.89
Under 2.5 65.4% 1.53
Over 3.5 15.8% 6.32
Under 3.5 84.2% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.0% 16.53
Under 4.5 94.0% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.5% 2.35
No 57.5% 1.74

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nancy / Draw 69.1% 1.45
Nancy / Metz 68.4% 1.46
Draw / Metz 62.5% 1.60

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.3
11.4
5.9
1.9
0.5
0.1
1
13.0
14.3
6.6
2.1
0.5
0.1
2
7.6
7.4
3.6
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
2.8
2.7
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.8
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nancy goals. Columns: Metz goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.