Saturday 26 November 2016, 21:00
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Full time
61%
24%
15%
Home win
61.5%
Draw
24.0%
Away win
14.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.0% | 4.17 | — | — |
| Lorient | 14.5% | 6.89 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.3% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.7% | 11.49 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.6% | 4.06 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.1% | 8.99 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.9% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
| No | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz / Draw | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Metz / Lorient | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Lorient | 38.5% | 2.60 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.7
|
5.3
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.7
|
11.3
|
3.9
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.7
|
9.4
|
3.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.5
|
5.6
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.3
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Metz
0-4
Lorient
Jan 2026
Lorient
1-1
Metz
Feb 2024
Metz
1-2
Lorient
Nov 2023
Lorient
2-3
Metz
Apr 2022
Lorient
1-0
Metz
Dec 2021
Metz
4-1
Lorient
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.