Saturday 15 October 2016, 21:00
Stade du Moustoir
Full time
33%
37%
30%
Home win
33.1%
Draw
37.1%
Away win
29.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
| Draw | 37.1% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Nantes | 29.7% | 3.37 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 21.4% | 4.67 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 21.1% | 4.74 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 7.6% | 13.20 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 2.2% | 44.48 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 97.8% | 1.02 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
| No | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient / Draw | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Lorient / Nantes | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Draw / Nantes | 66.9% | 1.50 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
21.4
|
14.9
|
5.9
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.1
|
13.6
|
4.9
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
6.9
|
5.3
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
1.9
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Lorient
2-1
Nantes
Nov 2025
Nantes
1-1
Lorient
Feb 2024
Lorient
0-1
Nantes
Sep 2023
Nantes
5-3
Lorient
Feb 2023
Nantes
1-0
Lorient
Sep 2022
Lorient
3-2
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.