Skip to content
Saturday 24 September 2016, 18:00 Stade du Moustoir Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
18% 24% 58%
Home win
18.3%
Draw
23.9%
Away win
57.7%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lorient 18.3% 5.45
Draw 23.9% 4.18
Lyon 57.7% 1.73

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.1% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.9% 14.54
Over 1.5 77.1% 1.30
Under 1.5 22.9% 4.37
Over 2.5 52.5% 1.91
Under 2.5 47.5% 2.10
Over 3.5 30.3% 3.30
Under 3.5 69.7% 1.43
Over 4.5 14.9% 6.73
Under 4.5 85.1% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.9% 1.93
No 48.1% 2.08

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lorient / Draw 42.3% 2.37
Lorient / Lyon 76.1% 1.31
Draw / Lyon 81.7% 1.22

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.9
10.8
10.5
6.4
2.9
1.1
1
5.2
11.4
9.9
6.0
2.8
1.0
2
2.8
5.1
4.6
2.8
1.3
0.5
3
0.9
1.6
1.5
0.9
0.4
0.2
4
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Lorient goals. Columns: Lyon goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.