Wednesday 21 September 2016, 20:00
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Full time
34%
27%
39%
Home win
34.2%
Draw
26.9%
Away win
38.9%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 34.2% | 2.93 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.9% | 3.71 | — | — |
| Montpellier | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.1% | 14.13 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.1% | 4.32 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.8% | 3.35 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.2% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.6% | 6.87 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| No | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Lyon / Montpellier | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Montpellier | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.1
|
8.4
|
6.5
|
3.1
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
7.7
|
12.8
|
8.6
|
4.1
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.6
|
8.0
|
5.7
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.5
|
3.5
|
2.5
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.2
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Montpellier
1-4
Lyon
Jan 2025
Lyon
1-0
Montpellier
Feb 2024
Montpellier
1-2
Lyon
Aug 2023
Lyon
1-4
Montpellier
May 2023
Lyon
5-4
Montpellier
Oct 2022
Montpellier
1-2
Lyon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.