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Saturday 27 August 2016, 18:00 Stade Gaston-Gérard Full time
4–2
HT 2–2
3% 93% 4%
Home win
2.5%
Draw
93.3%
Away win
4.2%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Dijon 2.5% 39.68
Draw 93.3% 1.07
Lyon 4.2% 23.66

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 6.9% 14.57
Under 0.5 93.1% 1.07
Over 1.5 0.2% 403.23
Under 1.5 99.8% 1.00
Over 2.5 0.0% 16,666.67
Under 2.5 100.0% 1.00
Over 3.5 0.0%
Under 3.5 100.0% 1.00
Over 4.5 0.0%
Under 4.5 100.0% 1.00

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 0.1% 826.45
No 99.9% 1.00

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Dijon / Draw 95.8% 1.04
Dijon / Lyon 6.7% 14.82
Draw / Lyon 97.5% 1.03

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
93.1
4.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
2.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Dijon goals. Columns: Lyon goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.