Wednesday 26 September 2018, 20:00
Stade Gaston-Gérard
Full time
24%
21%
55%
Home win
24.0%
Draw
21.0%
Away win
55.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon | 24.0% | 4.17 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.0% | 4.77 | — | — |
| Lyon | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.1% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.9% | 34.59 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 10.9% | 9.16 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 48.9% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 31.8% | 3.15 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| No | 30.7% | 3.26 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon / Draw | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Dijon / Lyon | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Lyon | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.9
|
5.0
|
6.2
|
4.6
|
2.6
|
1.2
|
| 1 |
3.1
|
8.5
|
9.0
|
6.8
|
3.8
|
1.7
|
| 2 |
2.6
|
5.8
|
6.6
|
5.0
|
2.8
|
1.3
|
| 3 |
1.3
|
2.9
|
3.2
|
2.4
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
1.0
|
1.2
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2021
Dijon
0-1
Lyon
Aug 2020
Lyon
4-1
Dijon
Oct 2019
Lyon
0-0
Dijon
Apr 2019
Lyon
1-3
Dijon
Apr 2018
Dijon
2-5
Lyon
Sep 2017
Lyon
3-3
Dijon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.