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Friday 17 August 2018, 21:45 Stade Auguste-Delaune II Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
36% 26% 38%
Home win
36.3%
Draw
25.8%
Away win
37.9%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Reims 36.3% 2.76
Draw 25.8% 3.87
Lyon 37.9% 2.64

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.2% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.8% 17.11
Over 1.5 80.2% 1.25
Under 1.5 19.8% 5.05
Over 2.5 56.9% 1.76
Under 2.5 43.1% 2.32
Over 3.5 34.5% 2.90
Under 3.5 65.5% 1.53
Over 4.5 17.9% 5.60
Under 4.5 82.1% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.4% 1.66
No 39.6% 2.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Reims / Draw 62.1% 1.61
Reims / Lyon 74.2% 1.35
Draw / Lyon 63.7% 1.57

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.8
7.1
5.8
2.9
1.1
0.3
1
6.9
12.0
8.5
4.3
1.6
0.5
2
5.5
8.3
6.2
3.1
1.2
0.4
3
2.7
4.0
3.0
1.5
0.6
0.2
4
1.0
1.5
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
5
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Reims goals. Columns: Lyon goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.