Saturday 19 May 2018, 22:00
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Full time
61%
21%
18%
Home win
60.5%
Draw
21.0%
Away win
18.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.0% | 4.76 | — | — |
| Nice | 18.5% | 5.42 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.1% | 24.36 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.1% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.9% | 6.70 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.3% | 4.11 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| No | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Lyon / Nice | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Nice | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.1
|
3.5
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
7.3
|
9.5
|
5.1
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.5
|
9.8
|
5.6
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.2
|
7.1
|
4.1
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.4
|
3.9
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.5
|
1.7
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Lyon
2-0
Nice
Oct 2025
Nice
3-2
Lyon
Mar 2025
Nice
0-2
Lyon
Dec 2024
Lyon
4-1
Nice
Feb 2024
Lyon
1-0
Nice
Aug 2023
Nice
0-0
Lyon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.