Saturday 14 April 2018, 18:00
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Full time
67%
21%
12%
Home win
67.1%
Draw
20.7%
Away win
12.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.7% | 4.82 | — | — |
| Amiens | 12.2% | 8.22 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.5% | 15.41 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.1% | 4.52 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.4% | 3.19 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.6% | 6.40 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.4% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
| No | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 87.8% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Lyon / Amiens | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / Amiens | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.5
|
4.0
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.7
|
9.9
|
3.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.6
|
9.6
|
3.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.7
|
6.6
|
2.5
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.5
|
3.4
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.8
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2020
Lyon
0-0
Amiens
Sep 2019
Amiens
2-2
Lyon
Jan 2019
Amiens
0-1
Lyon
Aug 2018
Lyon
2-0
Amiens
Dec 2017
Amiens
1-2
Lyon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.