Sunday 11 March 2018, 18:00
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Full time
76%
16%
8%
Home win
75.5%
Draw
16.2%
Away win
8.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.2% | 6.18 | — | — |
| Caen | 8.3% | 12.08 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.5% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.5% | 21.99 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.8% | 5.96 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 38.2% | 2.62 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 39.6% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 60.4% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.8% | 4.59 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| No | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Lyon / Caen | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 24.5% | 4.09 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.5
|
2.5
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.7
|
7.7
|
2.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.6
|
9.0
|
3.2
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.4
|
7.4
|
2.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.4
|
4.6
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.2
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2019
Lyon
4-0
Caen
Sep 2018
Caen
2-2
Lyon
Dec 2017
Caen
1-2
Lyon
Jan 2017
Caen
3-2
Lyon
Aug 2016
Lyon
2-0
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.