Sunday 25 February 2018, 18:00
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Full time
72%
17%
11%
Home win
72.2%
Draw
17.2%
Away win
10.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.2% | 5.82 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne | 10.7% | 9.38 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.0% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.0% | 25.29 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.8% | 6.77 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 34.9% | 2.87 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.7% | 4.05 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| No | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Lyon / Saint Etienne | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Saint Etienne | 27.8% | 3.59 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.0
|
2.6
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.2
|
8.0
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.8
|
9.4
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.9
|
7.8
|
3.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.5
|
4.8
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.8
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Saint Etienne
2-1
Lyon
Nov 2024
Lyon
1-0
Saint Etienne
Jan 2022
Lyon
1-0
Saint Etienne
Oct 2021
Saint Etienne
1-1
Lyon
Jan 2021
Saint Etienne
0-5
Lyon
Nov 2020
Lyon
2-1
Saint Etienne
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.