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Sunday 28 January 2018, 18:00 Matmut Atlantique Full time
3–1
HT 3–1
29% 25% 46%
Home win
29.1%
Draw
25.1%
Away win
45.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bordeaux 29.1% 3.43
Draw 25.1% 3.99
Lyon 45.8% 2.18

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.4% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.6% 17.95
Over 1.5 80.9% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.1% 5.25
Over 2.5 58.0% 1.72
Under 2.5 42.0% 2.38
Over 3.5 35.6% 2.81
Under 3.5 64.4% 1.55
Over 4.5 18.7% 5.35
Under 4.5 81.3% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.4% 1.65
No 39.6% 2.53

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bordeaux / Draw 54.2% 1.84
Bordeaux / Lyon 74.9% 1.33
Draw / Lyon 70.9% 1.41

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.6
7.7
7.1
4.0
1.7
0.6
1
5.8
11.6
9.3
5.3
2.2
0.8
2
4.3
7.2
6.1
3.5
1.5
0.5
3
1.9
3.2
2.7
1.5
0.6
0.2
4
0.6
1.0
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Bordeaux goals. Columns: Lyon goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.