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Sunday 14 January 2018, 18:00 Parc Olympique Lyonnais Full time
1–1
HT 0–1
74% 16% 10%
Home win
73.7%
Draw
16.3%
Away win
10.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lyon 73.7% 1.36
Draw 16.3% 6.13
Angers 10.0% 10.04

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.4% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.6% 27.75
Over 1.5 86.3% 1.16
Under 1.5 13.7% 7.30
Over 2.5 67.0% 1.49
Under 2.5 33.0% 3.03
Over 3.5 45.2% 2.21
Under 3.5 54.8% 1.83
Over 4.5 26.5% 3.77
Under 4.5 73.5% 1.36

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.1% 1.85
No 45.9% 2.18

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lyon / Draw 90.0% 1.11
Lyon / Angers 83.7% 1.19
Draw / Angers 26.3% 3.81

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.6
2.3
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
7.8
7.6
3.1
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
10.6
9.2
4.0
1.2
0.3
0.0
3
9.1
7.9
3.4
1.0
0.2
0.0
4
5.9
5.1
2.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
5
3.0
2.6
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Lyon goals. Columns: Angers goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.