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Sunday 10 December 2017, 16:00 Stade de la Licorne Full time
1–2
HT 1–0
30% 27% 43%
Home win
29.9%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
42.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Amiens 29.9% 3.35
Draw 27.3% 3.66
Lyon 42.8% 2.34

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.2% 1.09
Under 0.5 7.8% 12.74
Over 1.5 74.8% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.2% 3.97
Over 2.5 49.2% 2.03
Under 2.5 50.8% 1.97
Over 3.5 27.3% 3.66
Under 3.5 72.7% 1.38
Over 4.5 12.9% 7.76
Under 4.5 87.1% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.0% 1.85
No 46.0% 2.17

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Amiens / Draw 57.2% 1.75
Amiens / Lyon 72.7% 1.38
Draw / Lyon 70.1% 1.43

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.8
9.7
7.6
3.7
1.4
0.4
1
7.7
13.0
9.0
4.4
1.6
0.5
2
5.0
7.3
5.3
2.6
0.9
0.3
3
2.0
2.9
2.1
1.0
0.4
0.1
4
0.6
0.8
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Amiens goals. Columns: Lyon goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.