Sunday 12 August 2018, 16:00
Groupama Stadium
Full time
65%
22%
14%
Home win
64.7%
Draw
21.6%
Away win
13.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 64.7% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.6% | 4.62 | — | — |
| Amiens | 13.6% | 7.34 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.6% | 15.17 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.3% | 4.48 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.3% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.1% | 3.22 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.4% | 6.48 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| No | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Lyon / Amiens | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Amiens | 35.3% | 2.84 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.6
|
4.3
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.5
|
10.3
|
3.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.1
|
9.7
|
3.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.1
|
6.5
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.0
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.6
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2020
Lyon
0-0
Amiens
Sep 2019
Amiens
2-2
Lyon
Jan 2019
Amiens
0-1
Lyon
Apr 2018
Lyon
3-0
Amiens
Dec 2017
Amiens
1-2
Lyon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.