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Saturday 12 May 2018, 22:00 Stade de la Meinau Full time
3–2
HT 1–0
17% 20% 63%
Home win
17.4%
Draw
19.8%
Away win
62.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Strasbourg 17.4% 5.74
Draw 19.8% 5.06
Lyon 62.8% 1.59

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.6% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.4% 29.36
Over 1.5 87.3% 1.15
Under 1.5 12.7% 7.85
Over 2.5 68.5% 1.46
Under 2.5 31.5% 3.18
Over 3.5 47.1% 2.12
Under 3.5 52.9% 1.89
Over 4.5 28.1% 3.56
Under 4.5 71.9% 1.39

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 63.3% 1.58
No 36.7% 2.72

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Strasbourg / Draw 37.2% 2.69
Strasbourg / Lyon 80.2% 1.25
Draw / Lyon 82.6% 1.21

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.4
6.4
8.1
6.3
3.7
1.7
1
3.0
8.6
9.5
7.5
4.4
2.1
2
2.0
4.8
5.7
4.4
2.6
1.2
3
0.8
1.9
2.2
1.7
1.0
0.5
4
0.2
0.6
0.7
0.5
0.3
0.1
5
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Strasbourg goals. Columns: Lyon goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.