Saturday 28 April 2018, 18:00
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Full time
70%
19%
11%
Home win
69.7%
Draw
18.9%
Away win
11.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.9% | 5.30 | — | — |
| Nantes | 11.4% | 8.76 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.1% | 19.70 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.2% | 5.51 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.4% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.9% | 5.02 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| No | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Lyon / Nantes | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Nantes | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.1
|
3.2
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.9
|
9.0
|
3.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.8
|
9.6
|
3.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.9
|
7.3
|
3.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.1
|
4.1
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.3
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Nantes
0-1
Lyon
Nov 2025
Lyon
3-0
Nantes
Jan 2025
Nantes
1-1
Lyon
Oct 2024
Lyon
2-0
Nantes
Apr 2024
Nantes
1-3
Lyon
Dec 2023
Lyon
1-0
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.