Saturday 14 April 2018, 21:00
Stade de la Beaujoire
Full time
48%
27%
26%
Home win
47.5%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
25.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 47.5% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.8% | 3.74 | — | — |
| Dijon | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.9% | 12.70 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.2% | 3.67 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.8% | 7.81 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| No | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes / Draw | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Nantes / Dijon | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Dijon | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.9
|
7.0
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.4
|
12.8
|
6.5
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.6
|
9.4
|
5.1
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.5
|
4.9
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.7
|
1.9
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2021
Dijon
0-4
Nantes
Dec 2020
Nantes
1-1
Dijon
Feb 2020
Dijon
3-3
Nantes
Dec 2019
Nantes
1-0
Dijon
May 2019
Nantes
3-0
Dijon
Aug 2018
Dijon
2-0
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.