Saturday 10 March 2018, 21:00
Stade de la Beaujoire
Full time
50%
31%
19%
Home win
50.1%
Draw
30.5%
Away win
19.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 50.1% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.5% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Estac Troyes | 19.3% | 5.18 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.4% | 6.93 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 32.0% | 3.12 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.1% | 7.10 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.2% | 19.38 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.8% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.1% | 2.70 | — | — |
| No | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes / Draw | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Nantes / Estac Troyes | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Estac Troyes | 49.9% | 2.01 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.4
|
8.8
|
3.3
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
17.0
|
13.1
|
4.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.4
|
8.0
|
2.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.9
|
3.4
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2023
Nantes
2-2
Estac Troyes
Dec 2022
Estac Troyes
0-0
Nantes
Mar 2022
Estac Troyes
1-0
Nantes
Oct 2021
Nantes
2-0
Estac Troyes
Aug 2017
Estac Troyes
0-1
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.