Saturday 17 February 2018, 21:00
Stade de l'Aube
Full time
52%
27%
22%
Home win
51.5%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
21.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.8% | 3.73 | — | — |
| Metz | 21.6% | 4.62 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.0% | 11.15 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.1% | 4.14 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.8% | 9.24 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| No | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes / Draw | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Estac Troyes / Metz | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Metz | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.0
|
6.9
|
3.6
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.2
|
12.7
|
5.6
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.1
|
9.4
|
4.4
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.3
|
4.9
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.1
|
1.9
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.