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Wednesday 17 January 2018, 20:00 Stade Saint-Symphorien Full time
3–0
HT 2–0
34% 29% 36%
Home win
34.1%
Draw
29.4%
Away win
36.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Metz 34.1% 2.93
Draw 29.4% 3.40
Saint Etienne 36.5% 2.74

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.9% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.1% 9.91
Over 1.5 69.4% 1.44
Under 1.5 30.6% 3.27
Over 2.5 42.4% 2.36
Under 2.5 57.6% 1.74
Over 3.5 21.6% 4.63
Under 3.5 78.4% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.3% 10.78
Under 4.5 90.7% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.1% 2.04
No 50.9% 1.96

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Metz / Draw 63.5% 1.57
Metz / Saint Etienne 70.6% 1.42
Draw / Saint Etienne 65.9% 1.52

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.1
10.5
6.8
2.8
0.8
0.2
1
10.0
13.9
7.9
3.2
1.0
0.2
2
6.3
7.6
4.6
1.9
0.6
0.1
3
2.4
3.0
1.8
0.7
0.2
0.1
4
0.7
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Metz goals. Columns: Saint Etienne goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.