Saturday 2 December 2017, 21:00
Allianz Riviera
Full time
74%
17%
8%
Home win
74.4%
Draw
17.2%
Away win
8.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.2% | 5.82 | — | — |
| Metz | 8.5% | 11.80 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.3% | 18.75 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.1% | 5.23 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.8% | 2.80 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.8% | 5.31 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
| No | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Nice / Metz | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Metz | 25.6% | 3.90 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.3
|
2.8
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.0
|
8.2
|
2.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.4
|
9.1
|
3.1
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.5
|
7.1
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.2
|
4.2
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.9
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Nice
0-0
Metz
Nov 2025
Metz
2-1
Nice
Jan 2024
Nice
1-0
Metz
Oct 2023
Metz
0-1
Nice
Jan 2022
Metz
0-2
Nice
Nov 2021
Nice
0-1
Metz
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.