Wednesday 29 November 2017, 20:00
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Full time
17%
23%
60%
Home win
16.5%
Draw
23.1%
Away win
60.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz | 16.5% | 6.05 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.1% | 4.33 | — | — |
| Marseille | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.7% | 14.82 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.6% | 4.42 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.6% | 3.26 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.1% | 6.61 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| No | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz / Draw | 39.6% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Metz / Marseille | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Marseille | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.7
|
11.0
|
11.1
|
7.0
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
| 1 |
4.8
|
11.0
|
9.9
|
6.3
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
| 2 |
2.4
|
4.6
|
4.4
|
2.8
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
0.7
|
1.4
|
1.3
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Marseille
3-1
Metz
Oct 2025
Metz
0-3
Marseille
Feb 2024
Marseille
1-1
Metz
Aug 2023
Metz
2-2
Marseille
Feb 2022
Metz
1-2
Marseille
Nov 2021
Marseille
0-0
Metz
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.