Sunday 29 October 2017, 16:00
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Full time
85%
10%
5%
Home win
84.8%
Draw
10.1%
Away win
5.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Draw | 10.1% | 9.90 | — | — |
| Metz | 5.1% | 19.65 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.2% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.8% | 55.49 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 92.2% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 7.8% | 12.89 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 21.5% | 4.66 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| No | 46.4% | 2.16 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Lyon / Metz | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Draw / Metz | 15.2% | 6.58 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.8
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
5.0
|
4.4
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
8.8
|
7.1
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.8
|
7.9
|
3.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.3
|
6.6
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
5.6
|
4.5
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Metz
2-5
Lyon
Aug 2025
Lyon
3-0
Metz
Feb 2024
Metz
1-2
Lyon
Nov 2023
Lyon
1-1
Metz
May 2022
Metz
3-2
Lyon
Dec 2021
Lyon
1-1
Metz
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.