Saturday 30 September 2017, 21:00
Stade de la Beaujoire
Full time
57%
25%
17%
Home win
57.4%
Draw
25.5%
Away win
17.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.5% | 3.93 | — | — |
| Metz | 17.1% | 5.84 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.1% | 11.03 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.8% | 4.21 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.6% | 9.44 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
| No | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes / Draw | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Nantes / Metz | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Metz | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.1
|
6.1
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.4
|
12.0
|
4.5
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.8
|
9.5
|
3.8
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.6
|
5.3
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.7
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Metz
0-0
Nantes
Nov 2025
Nantes
0-2
Metz
Mar 2024
Nantes
0-2
Metz
Nov 2023
Metz
3-1
Nantes
Feb 2022
Metz
0-0
Nantes
Aug 2021
Nantes
2-0
Metz
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.