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Friday 8 September 2017, 21:45 Stade Saint-Symphorien Full time
9% 17% 74%
Home win
9.0%
Draw
17.3%
Away win
73.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Metz 9.0% 11.07
Draw 17.3% 5.80
Paris Saint Germain 73.7% 1.36

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.0% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.0% 19.94
Over 1.5 81.9% 1.22
Under 1.5 18.1% 5.51
Over 2.5 59.7% 1.68
Under 2.5 40.3% 2.48
Over 3.5 37.3% 2.68
Under 3.5 62.7% 1.59
Over 4.5 20.0% 5.00
Under 4.5 80.0% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.0% 2.13
No 53.0% 1.89

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Metz / Draw 26.3% 3.80
Metz / Paris Saint Germain 82.7% 1.21
Draw / Paris Saint Germain 91.0% 1.10

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.0
10.3
12.8
10.1
6.0
2.8
1
2.8
8.2
9.2
7.3
4.3
2.0
2
1.2
2.8
3.3
2.6
1.6
0.7
3
0.3
0.7
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
4
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Metz goals. Columns: Paris Saint Germain goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.