Saturday 26 August 2017, 21:00
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Full time
49%
27%
24%
Home win
49.4%
Draw
27.1%
Away win
23.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 49.4% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.1% | 3.69 | — | — |
| Metz | 23.6% | 4.24 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.3% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.7% | 11.49 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.4% | 3.65 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.9% | 4.02 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.3% | 8.88 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| No | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen / Draw | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Caen / Metz | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Metz | 50.6% | 1.97 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.7
|
7.2
|
3.9
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.6
|
12.9
|
6.0
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.5
|
9.4
|
4.6
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.9
|
4.8
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.9
|
1.8
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.