Saturday 5 August 2017, 21:00
Stade de la Mosson
Full time
56%
24%
20%
Home win
56.2%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
20.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.7% | 4.22 | — | — |
| Caen | 20.1% | 4.98 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.9% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.1% | 16.49 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.6% | 4.85 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.3% | 3.00 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.0% | 5.87 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.0% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| No | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier / Draw | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Montpellier / Caen | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.1
|
5.0
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.5
|
11.2
|
5.5
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.5
|
9.9
|
5.2
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.9
|
6.2
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.8
|
2.9
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2019
Montpellier
2-0
Caen
Sep 2018
Caen
2-2
Montpellier
Apr 2018
Caen
1-3
Montpellier
Apr 2017
Caen
0-2
Montpellier
Oct 2016
Montpellier
3-2
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.