Saturday 29 April 2017, 21:00
Stade de la Mosson
Full time
48%
27%
25%
Home win
48.1%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
25.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.8% | 3.74 | — | — |
| Lille | 25.1% | 3.98 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.0% | 12.51 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.6% | 3.91 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.6% | 7.96 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| No | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier / Draw | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Montpellier / Lille | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.0
|
7.0
|
4.1
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.6
|
12.8
|
6.4
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.8
|
9.4
|
5.0
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.6
|
4.9
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.8
|
1.9
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2025
Lille
1-0
Montpellier
Dec 2024
Montpellier
2-2
Lille
Jan 2024
Montpellier
0-0
Lille
Sep 2023
Lille
1-0
Montpellier
Apr 2023
Lille
2-1
Montpellier
Sep 2022
Montpellier
1-3
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.