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Saturday 18 March 2017, 21:00 Matmut Atlantique Full time
58% 23% 20%
Home win
57.7%
Draw
22.6%
Away win
19.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bordeaux 57.7% 1.73
Draw 22.6% 4.43
Montpellier 19.8% 5.05

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.9% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.1% 19.72
Over 1.5 82.2% 1.22
Under 1.5 17.8% 5.62
Over 2.5 60.0% 1.67
Under 2.5 40.0% 2.50
Over 3.5 37.7% 2.66
Under 3.5 62.3% 1.60
Over 4.5 20.3% 4.93
Under 4.5 79.7% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.4% 1.71
No 41.6% 2.40

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bordeaux / Draw 80.2% 1.25
Bordeaux / Montpellier 77.4% 1.29
Draw / Montpellier 42.3% 2.36

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.1
4.3
2.7
1.0
0.3
0.1
1
8.4
10.5
5.4
2.0
0.6
0.1
2
9.0
9.9
5.5
2.0
0.6
0.1
3
6.0
6.6
3.6
1.3
0.4
0.1
4
3.0
3.3
1.8
0.7
0.2
0.0
5
1.2
1.3
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Bordeaux goals. Columns: Montpellier goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.